Ballon d'Or 2026 · London Palladium · Mon 26 OctOdds · Polymarket

Thirty nominees.
One golden ball.
The pot goes to the winner's holders.

$BALLON is the main coin. Each of the 30 nominees has his own coin, paired against $BALLON. Every creator fee is collected into one public prize wallet, and the moment the winner is announced the whole pot is distributed, pro rata, to the holders of that player's coin.

Pick your player

POLYMARKET FAVOURITE

…

RUNNER-UP

…

THIRD

…

FAVOURITE TO WINCEREMONY

—

Loading odds

Mon 26 Oct

20:00 GMT · 21:00 CET

Implied win probability from the live Polymarket "Ballon d'Or Winner 2026" market, refreshed every 30 seconds.

#1 Lamine Yamal —#2 Kane —#3 Mbappé —#4 Bellingham —#5 Cubarsí —#6 Cucurella —#7 Fabián —#8 Dembélé —#9 Vitinha —#10 Ferran —#11 Vinícius —#12 Saliba —#13 Rice —#14 Upamecano —#15 Gabriel —#16 Lautaro —#17 Rodri —#18 Haaland —#19 Mané —#20 Marquinhos —#21 Olise —#22 Quiñones —#23 Luis Díaz —#24 Hakimi —#25 Bruno —#26 João Neves —#27 Kvaratskhelia —#28 Pacho —#29 Messi —#30 Nuno Mendes —#1 Lamine Yamal —#2 Kane —#3 Mbappé —#4 Bellingham —#5 Cubarsí —#6 Cucurella —#7 Fabián —#8 Dembélé —#9 Vitinha —#10 Ferran —#11 Vinícius —#12 Saliba —#13 Rice —#14 Upamecano —#15 Gabriel —#16 Lautaro —#17 Rodri —#18 Haaland —#19 Mané —#20 Marquinhos —#21 Olise —#22 Quiñones —#23 Luis Díaz —#24 Hakimi —#25 Bruno —#26 João Neves —#27 Kvaratskhelia —#28 Pacho —#29 Messi —#30 Nuno Mendes —

THE RACE · 30 NOMINEES

Who lifts the golden ball?

Ranked live by Polymarket win probability.

1Favourite

Barcelona

Lamine Yamal

Chance to win

—

Bayern Munich

Harry Kane

Chance to win

—

Real Madrid

Kylian Mbappé

Chance to win

—

Jude Bellingham

Real Madrid

—

Pau Cubarsí

Barcelona

—

Marc Cucurella

Chelsea

—

Fabián Ruiz

Paris Saint-Germain

—

Ousmane Dembélé

Paris Saint-Germain

—

Vitinha

Paris Saint-Germain

—

#10

Ferran Torres

Barcelona

—

#11

Vinícius Júnior

Real Madrid

—

#12

William Saliba

Arsenal

—

#13

Declan Rice

Arsenal

—

#14

Dayot Upamecano

Bayern Munich

—

#15

Gabriel Magalhães

Arsenal

—

#16

Lautaro Martínez

Inter

—

#17

Rodri

Manchester City

—

#18

Erling Haaland

Manchester City

—

#19

Sadio Mané

Al-Nassr

—

#20

Marquinhos

Paris Saint-Germain

—

#21

Michael Olise

Bayern Munich

—

#22

Julián Quiñones

Al-Qadsiah

—

#23

Luis Díaz

Bayern Munich

—

#24

Achraf Hakimi

Paris Saint-Germain

—

#25

Bruno Fernandes

Manchester United

—

#26

João Neves

Paris Saint-Germain

—

#27

Khvicha Kvaratskhelia

Paris Saint-Germain

—

#28

Willian Pacho

Paris Saint-Germain

—

#29

Lionel Messi

Inter Miami

—

#30

Nuno Mendes

Paris Saint-Germain

—

Source: Polymarket · Ballon d'Or Winner 2026

THE POT

Every creator fee, one wallet.

SOURCE

100% of $BALLON creator fees (bonding curve + PumpSwap).

SNAPSHOT

Ceremony start, Mon 26 Oct 20:00 GMT. Buying after the envelope is opened does not count.

PAYOUT

SOL, pro rata, same night. Each holder receives pot × (their balance ÷ eligible supply).

EXCLUDED

The bonding curve, the PumpSwap pool, the platform wallet and the dev wallet never receive a share.

HOW IT WORKS

Three steps, one pot.

Buy $BALLON

The main coin, paired to SOL on pump.fun. Every trade pays a creator fee straight into the prize wallet.

Pick your nominee

Each of the 30 nominees has a coin paired to $BALLON, so every bet feeds the pot. Trade as the odds move.

The envelope opens

We snapshot the winner's holders at ceremony start and the pot is paid out in SOL minutes after the name is read.

RULES

Written down before the envelope.

01The winner is the player announced on stage as the men's Ballon d'Or 2026.
02Snapshot = token balances of the winner's coin at ceremony start. Curve, pool, platform and dev wallets are excluded.
03The pot is every creator fee $BALLON has earned until the payout transaction, held in the public prize wallet.
04Nominee coins are quoted in $BALLON: selling a player gives you $BALLON, not SOL.
05If the ceremony is postponed, the snapshot moves with it. If a winner's coin has zero eligible holders, the pot rolls into the next edition.
06This is a meme market on a football award, not affiliated with the Ballon d'Or, France Football, UEFA, Polymarket or any club or player. Coins can go to zero. Nothing here is financial advice.

Thirty nominees.One golden ball.The pot goes to the winner's holders.

Who lifts the golden ball?

Every creator fee, one wallet.

Three steps, one pot.

Written down before the envelope.

Thirty nominees.
One golden ball.
The pot goes to the winner's holders.